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# ECO404 Assignmnet#01 Solution & Discussion Fall 2010

Assignment Eco404
Use the information given in the following table; calculate the average
trend of each quarter.
Year Actual figure/
Forecasted figure
2000.1 0.95
2001.1 0.65
2002.1 0.96
2003.1 0.81
2000.2 1.12
2001.2 1.15
2002.2 1.36
2003.2 1.48
2000.3 0.17
2001.3 0.87
2002.3 0.94
2003.3 0.88
2000.4 1.39
2001.4 1.63
2002.4 1.22
2003.4 1.44
Suppose estimated forecasts by using linear trend projection for year 2004
are as under:
S17 = 19.20
S18 = 19.89
S19 = 20.25
S20 = 20.93
Calculate the seasonally adjusted forecast for year 2004 by using ratio to
trend method.

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