Latest Activity In Study Groups

Join Your Study Groups

VU Past Papers, MCQs and More

We non-commercial site working hard since 2009 to facilitate learning Read More. We can't keep up without your support. Donate.

MGT613 Production/Operation Management, Assignment # 1 Opening Date November 26, 2015 and due date will be December 02, 2015.

Assignment # 01

production/operations management (mgt613)

Marks: 10

Topic:  Forecasting

Objective: The objective of this assignment is to numerically perform the concept of different types of forecasting.


There are certain businesses whose performances/sales get affected by the seasonal conditions of their regions. Fast moving consumer goods are one of those businesses, whose product demand is dependent and very much affected by the weather conditions. Huge demand differences exist in summer and winters. Eggs and poultry business is one of those, in winters its demand is high and is low in summer.

Fine Eggs and Poultry Ltd. (private) is a firm located at Rawalpindi. It holds 60% of Rawalpindi market share in this business. Its customers include mega-marts, general stores, bakeries and burger shops. As the winter is approaching, so its management has to prepare forecasting schedule and table to forecast demand of eggs. Based upon the previous historical records, the management extracted following table:

Week (s)

Demand units (000)


















From the above given information you are required to calculate:

•           3-week moving average forecast demand in week 4, 6 and 8.

•           Weighted moving average forecast demand in week 5 with the same and equal weights of all previous weeks.

•           Exponential smoothing forecast demand for all weeks using 0.9 as smoothing constant. However the management predicted 650,000 demand in first week


  1. The answer should be in mathematical form only and doesn’t need any theory. But it should also include formulas.

Short Demo:

If you want to know how to download and submit an assignment on VULMS, watch the following short demo on VU Facebook page.


Click here to see demo




To open the assignment file, you must have Adobe Acrobat Reader/ PDF Reader installed on your computer.

For acquiring the relevant knowledge, do not rely only on handouts but watch the course video lectures and read additional material available online or in any other mode.


Note related to load shedding: Please be proactive

Dear students!

As you know that Post Mid-Term semester activities have started and load shedding problem is also prevailing in our country. Keeping in view the fact, you all are advised to post your activities as early as possible without waiting for the due date. For your convenience; activity schedule has already been uploaded on VULMS for the current semester, therefore no excuse will be entertained after due date of assignments, quizzes and GDBs.


Views: 6357


Replies to This Discussion

lets start 

Please Discuss here about this assignment.Thanks

Our main purpose here discussion not just Solution

We are here with you hands in hands to facilitate your learning and do not appreciate the idea of copying or replicating solutions.

slide of lec no 9 & 10 is related to this assignment plz follow the example of the slide and try to solve it.

samra sis kindly share your formula for all question ...

r u apply the formula of handout or not?

and question 3rd kindly explain i don't understand it 

ap ki values sab kaisi nikli han yahi puch rahi ap sa ...samra tariq

samra the first week demand is 700

=     F4= 700+800+865/3  =783.33

       F6= 700+800+850+870+900/5  =  824

       F8= 700+800+850+870+900+920+960/7 = 857

       F5= 700+800+850+870/4 = 805

Samra plz check ur F8 

samra how we know the value of w?

We are not given the weights, but in 2nd part it is mentioned: "with the same and equal weights of all previous weeks"
Weights must add to 1, and for 4 weeks it would be 1/4=0.25 for each


A...z sis my 1st and 2nd answer are same with u but i can't understand the samra sis answer question 1st the option 1st are same with both of same but the option 2nd or 3rd are different.

i think it is correct solution samra sis


Looking For Something? Search Below

VIP Member Badge & Others

How to Get This Badge at Your Profile DP


Management: Admins ::: Moderators

Other Awards Badges List Moderators Group

© 2021   Created by + M.Tariq Malik.   Powered by

Promote Us  |  Report an Issue  |  Privacy Policy  |  Terms of Service